Tick TOCS Tick TOCS Channeling change through theory into scenarios

Tick TOCS Tick TOCS Channeling change through theory into scenarios

Many different methods exist for building scenarios. Bishop, Hines, and Collins cite almost two dozen scenario building approaches. Methods vary across a process landscape that includes contrasting uncertainties; mapping permutations and combinations of outcomes from key variables; and dynamic forecasting models. Good futures work includes clearly identifying the theories of change underlying
scenarios: what drives the changes that create alternative futures?

https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Wendy_Schultz2/publication/270684776_Tick_TOCS_Tick_TOCS_Channelling_change_through_theory_into_scenarios/links/54b27f990cf2318f0f94faca/Tick-TOCS-Tick-TOCS-Channelling-change-through-theory-into-scenarios.pdf